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Wise words from my futurist colleague Glen Hiemstra, below The City of The Future: It's Changing -- But Into What? | Environment | AlterNet
From yesterday's event in Brussels, for BPost, here are the slides, as promised:) Enjoy!
"from ego to Eco" see http://gerd.fm/egotoeco
This is the audio version of my talk at SwissNex in SF, see the details, video and slides here. Right-click to save as MP3 (on a Mac:)
Gerd Leonhard Data Oil Swissnex SF
The best way to get my latest podcasts is to use my mobile app, btw; I am posting a lot of exclusive content there. Enjoy and... spread the word:)
- Total spending on media and entertainment is projected to grow at a compound annual rate of 5.7 percent to $2.1 trillion by 2016….
- The future of media and entertainment is all about digital, which will generate 67 percent of spending growth in the next five years. But digital growth is not incremental—it’s directly cannibalizing older types of content distribution—like traditional books or even TV subscriptions.
- One business that will unilaterally benefit from the rise of digital: broadband and wireless service providers. Spending to access the Internet, both through broadband and Wi-Fi, will grow to $493 billion in 2016 from $317 billion in 2011…
- Interestingly, the report projects that music “will rebound with steady expansion,” growing to $19.8 billion in 2016 from $15.2 billion in 2011. Online radio advertising is projected to hit $802 million in 2016 while satellite radio ads are projected to generate $116 million in revenue….
- The publishing industry will see traditional print books decline, but that will be more than compensated by the rise in eBooks. Electronic books are projected to grow by an almost 32 percent compound annual growth rate. And PwC expects a significant rise in paid digital subscriptions for magazines — digital will account for 6.5 percent of total magazine subscription in 5 years.
- PwC expects Internet advertising to grow 17 percent to $105.4 billion in 2012. Mobile advertising is growing fast—but projected to grow just to $24.5 billion in 2016 from $5.2 billion in 2011. No surprise, China’s Internet ad market is growing faster than any other than the U.S.: projected to hit $31 billion in 2016.
- PWC: Entertainment, Media to Grow—Music, Digital, Broadband to Benefit - CNBC
42MB MP3 below (click to play, right click to download). The video is here
Keynote_presentation_from_Gerd_Leonhard_Wiggin_Digital_Entertainment_Summit_2012
Of course, content & media is one of my essential topics, and most of the crucial stuff is covered in this 30-minute audio version of the DES video. I hope you like it - if you do, please share it widely.
Many related slideshows can be found here. Here is a low-res version of the actual slideshow: Download DES wiggin Gerd Leonhard Public low res
You can use my mobile app to listen to 50+ audio versions of my latest talks, as well as assorted podcasts I did during the past 10 years.
This graph, below, reflects a growing trend and interesting phenomena that I have observed with many business that are impacted by the dramatically accelerating disruption brought on by digital technologies. For many incumbents, it may often look like 'things will be OK, regardless (i.e. we still sell a lot of XYZ - why worry)' but when a certain pivot point is actually reached (as below, in US newspaper ad revenues, around 2006), the entire business logic suddenly falls off the cliff, at which point it is often too late to still re-invent from a position of strength.
The lessons: foresight is crucial, and should be part of everyone's job. Look for likely change when your business is still doing well. Anticipate disruptions.
Fellow media futurist and Futures Agency colleague Ross Dawson and me are delighted to announce this free webinar on July 19, 2012, at 2pm CET, 1pm UK, 8 am EST, 8pm Singapore & HongKong, 7pm Jakarta time. Attendance is limited to 100 people so sign up early. Emphasis will be on discussion and questions rather than presentations.
The Future of Media: Mobile, Social, Cloud... and Paid? With Futurists Ross Dawson and Gerd Leonhard
Join us for a webinar on Jul 19, 2012 at 2:00 PM CEST.
Register now!
https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/797gl/register/8547917098258049792
Both Ross and Gerd have spend the past 10 years researching, writing and speaking about the future of media & content, and have worked with over 150 clients in 27 countries on many of the key topics such as monetization and new, web-native business models, curation and filtering, the global shift to mobile devices and what it really means for media, the dramatic convergence of Internet and television, the move from media ownership to cloud access (such as in books or print), the future of advertising (and whether it can fund media productions), crowd-sourcing, UGC and social media, and much more. In this free webinar, Ross and Gerd will present 5 key points on the future of media (print, tv, films, music etc) each - approx. 20 minutes in total - and then take questions from the participants (via the chat functions or twitter). The goal is to have an in-depth, ad-hoc conversation that involves the participants as much as possible. You can also ask questions beforehand, via @gleonhard or @rossdawson #futmedia
PLEASE NOTE: attendance is limited to 100 people - sign up early:)
Find out more about Ross Dawson:
http://rossdawson.com/
https://twitter.com/#!/rossdawson
http://www.youtube.com/user/rossdaht2/videos
Find out more about Gerd Leonhard
http://www.mediafuturist.com/
https://twitter.com/#!/gleonhard
http://www.youtube.com/gleonhard
After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.
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