Limitless growth is unsuitable

Gerd Leonhard
Futurist, Author and CEO

http://www.thefuturesagency.com

http://www.gerdfuturist.com

More links;) http://about.me/mediafuturist

A key trend...

Gerd Leonhard
Futurist, Author and CEO

http://www.mediafuturist.com

http://www.thefuturesagency.com

More links;) http://about.me/mediafuturist

Pretty amazing short movie about Augmented Reality Future Scenarios

... a lot of pretty amazing scenes in here, blurring the bounder between science fiction and reality. Sorta like a Cory Doctorow novel, one can't help wondering whether this is the future of already reality.

Nice job by Eran May-raz and Daniel Lazo. 

Sight from Sight Systems on Vimeo.

My new show-reels are live on Youtube (English and German versions)

My younger son (18) is a budding video producer and just created these 2 short reels for me, cutting and pasting from various speaking engagements, presentations and interviews. I think they are quite entertaining - would love to get your feedback!!  Have a look:

English version

This is a short video with some of my best snippets from the past 5 years, taken from various keynotes and speaking engagements.

You may also want to visit my video page on my blog http://www.mediafuturist.com/my_videos or check out my Blip.Tv channel (download all videos) at http://blip.tv/gleonhard#1455358

 

German version / Auf Deutsch

Ein kurzes Video, auf Deutsch, über meine Arbeit als Futurist und Keynote Redner. Mehr Details auf meiner deutschen Seite http://derfuturist.com 

Pretty amazing Aldous Huxley interview from1958 (full video)

A rare 1958 interview from the author of "Brave New World" Thank you for watching.

Related articles

Mary Meeker Explains Internet 2012 in 17 Minutes: The Full D10 Interview (Video)

Audio version of my keynote presentation at the Wiggin 2012 DES event: the future of media

New audio-only versions of my keynotes now available on my app, and via iTunes

I have just added some 25 new audio-only versions (podcasts) of my various keynote speeches, talks and presentations from the past 12 months to my free iOS / Android app - check it out (this is a great way to get really distracted while driving ;).  I also have a new web-app if you don't want to download anything, here.

In addition, you can now subscribe to all my audio feeds via iTunes or directly via the new FutureTalks podcast site.

Never a boring moment:)

And yes, you can subscribe to my video podcasts here, as well (and download them directly onto your iPod etc)

 

Related articles

• MediaFuturist: Audio version of my keynote presentation at the Wiggin 2012 DES event: the future of media (futureof.biz)

From Ego to Eco: my big theme for the next 12 months (slideshow)

Some of you may have heard that I am working on a new book called "From Ego to Eco - why business as usual is killing us and what to do about it". You can see some of my early work on this powerful meme here and here; and below is a first image gallery about this. Enjoy, and send some feedback if you like.

Related articles

• Watch this: From Ego to Eco: Futurist and Keynote Speaker Gerd Leonhard at EcoSummit 2012 (futuristgerd.com)
• "Futurist Gerd Leonhard, CEO of The Futures Agency, talks about Sustainable Capitalism and why we..." (futuristgerd.com)
• Just found this nice illustration of one of my key themes (futuristgerd.com)

Watch this: William Gibson: The New Cyber/Reality

The man who coined the term "cyberspace," science fiction writer and futurist William Gibson joins The Agenda to discuss the new cyber-reality and where the human race might be headed next.

Update: PDFs, audio and video from July 17, 2012 webinar on the Future of Media (Futurists Gerd Leonhard and Ross Dawson) | Media Futures with Gerd and Ross

Today’s webinar was a really fun event; great questions from the audience (roughly 50 people were online), and nice interactions using the pretty cool GoToMeeting tools (no video, tho:). 

Gerd’s PDF is available for download here (20 MB high res), and Ross’s PDF is here.  Both are provided under creative commons attribution non-commercial license.

Download the audio version (70 minutes, 22 MB).

 

The Future of Media, Mobile, Social, Cloud... and Paid? With Futurists Ross Dawson and Gerd Leonhard 7-19-12 2.12 PM copy

 Find out more about Ross Dawson:
http://rossdawson.com/
https://twitter.com/#!/rossdawson
http://www.youtube.com/user/rossdaht2/videos

 

Find out more about Gerd Leonhard
http://www.mediafuturist.com/
https://twitter.com/#!/gleonhard
http://www.youtube.com/gleonhard

via www.gerdandross.com

 

UPDATE: the video has arrived

Watch this: Rob Reid: The $8 billion iPod

http://www.ted.com Comic author Rob Reid unveils Copyright Math (TM), a remarkable new field of study based on actual numbers from entertainment industry lawyers and lobbyists. TEDTalks is a daily video podcast of the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes. Featured speakers have included Al Gore on climate change, Philippe Starck on design, Jill Bolte Taylor on observing her own stroke, Nicholas Negroponte on One Laptop per Child, Jane Goodall on chimpanzees, Bill Gates on malaria and mosquitoes, Pattie Maes on the "Sixth Sense" wearable tech, and "Lost" producer JJ Abrams on the allure of mystery. TED stands for Technology, Entertainment, Design, and TEDTalks cover these topics as well as science, business, development and the arts. Closed captions and translated subtitles in a variety of languages are now available on TED.com, at http://www.ted.com/translate If you have questions or comments about this or other TED videos, please go to http://support.ted.com

Article: How Google products go from creepy to cool (great example of how privacy perception has changed)

Interesting story, below, illustrating how privacy perception has changed.How Google products go from creepy to cool

http://news.cnet.com/8301-1009_3-57470750-83/how-google-products-go-from-creepy-to-cool/

On April 1, 2004, Google announced its new and capacious Gmail service and said it would serve up contextual ads, a move so radical that people initially thought it was an April Fool’s joke. It wasn’t. At the time, more than 30 civil liberties groups urged Google to suspend Gmail, arguing that targeting people with ads in their e-mail was setting a dangerous precedent and letting the “proverbial genie out of the bottle” for privacy abuse. California Sen. Liz Figueroa drafted a bill aimed at restricting this use of Gmail (later dropped), privacy groups asked the California Attorney General to investigate whether Google was violating wiretapping laws, and one Google critic created the “Gmail is too creepy” site. Fast-forward eight years — 425 million Gmail people are using the service, and contextual ads are regularly ignored in e-mails on Yahoo and other free e-mail services. It’s not that people are now apathetic about, for example, seeing a Viagra ad when they are asking someone for a date. It’s that people do not seem to feel threatened by the notion that Google’s all-seeing computers are eyeballing the messages and serving up ads. We see the ads everyday in our e-mails, next to our Web searches, and on the most popular sites — they have become part of the accepted Internet landscape.

(via Instapaper)

Gerd Leonhard
Futurist, Author and CEO 

http://www.mediafuturist.com

http://www.thefuturesagency.com

http://www.futuristgerd.com

More links;) http://about.me/mediafuturist 

Must Read Article: Rhapsody's Rob Reid: 'Copyright law is like doing archaeology in the Mediterranean'

Rhapsody's Rob Reid: 'Copyright law is like doing archaeology in the Mediterranean' | The Verge

http://www.theverge.com/2012/7/9/3122252/rhapsody-rob-reid-interview-year-zero-copyright-music-piracy

I don’t know the details of the deals that Spotify cuts with indies vs. majors. But I can speculate about the relative size and attractiveness of a fully-streaming market. This is where I see the world in 5-10 years, when the technology allows immediate (and mobile) on-demand access to all the world’s music at essentially all times for a modest monthly fee (which is coming very quickly) – and consumers have fully digested and acclimated to this fact (which will take quite a bit longer).
In that world, a la carte piracy and the annoyance of managing and synchronizing file-based music collections across multiple devices will look about as cutting-edge as carrying canteens around a city with modern plumbing. I expect that anyone with even a passing interest music would be a subscriber in that world (much as the huge majority of households now get pay TV), and that prices will initially gravitate around $10/month, and then drift upward as “music dial tone” comes to be an increasingly integral aspect of daily life.

So let’s say about half of the country is on board at $10/month. That’s $15 billion/year in revenue, which is slightly more than the US music industry at its peak in 1999. And I think that’s a starting point for the market once the transition to streaming is complete, and it will do nothing but grow after that (again — think of cable/satellite bills).

(via Instapaper)

A tom of really useful points about the music industry here - be sure to watch the videos, too!

Gerd Leonhard
Futurist, Author and CEO 

http://www.futuristgerd.com

Videos: http://www.gerdtube.com 
Twitter: @gleonhard

More links;) http://about.me/mediafuturist 

Excerpts: How Google is becoming an extension of your mind (CNet)

Great feature on Google and technology on CNet, here.  I have summarized some of the key findings for you - I shall leave it to you to be scared out of your wits or ultra-excited.

"What  Google is now becoming is an extension of your mind, an omnipresent digital assistant that figures out what you need and supplies it before you even realize you need it"

"Google, in essence, becomes a part of you. Imagine Google playing a customized audio commentary based on what you look at while on a tourist trip and then sharing photo highlights with your friends as you go. Or Google taking over your car when it concludes based on your steering response time and blink rate that you're no longer fit to drive. Or your Google glasses automatically beaming audio and video to the police when you say a phrase that indicates you're being mugged"

"For a Google-augmented life, you must grant the Googlebot unprecedented privileges to monitor your personal information and behavior"

"The bottom line: the more types of work computers do on your behalf to make your life easier, the more access you must grant them to the intimacies of your personal life. And that means it's time for Google and Google users think carefully about whether it's time to shift from ad-supported free services toward paid services"

"The tiny screen, camera, and speaker built into Project Glass' computerized, networked glasses means electronic information can be woven directly into people's interactions with the physical world. What sorts of information? Google isn't promising anything yet, but obvious possibilities include live navigation directions and coupon offers for nearby stores..."

"The way to think of hardware at Google is not as a bunch of artfully packaged electronic bits and pieces that can be sold for a profit. Instead, hardware is like Android and Chrome: a means to an end"

Read on - there's a lot more here.

Watch this: Google unveils Google Glass Explorer Edition at I/O - CNET News

http://cnet.co/LtDHse Google's Sergey Brin reveals video-capturing, augmented reality glasses at Google I/O in San Francisco. The Google Glass Explorer Edition will be available via pre-order for conference attendees, cost $1,500, and ship in early 2013.

Meet me in Costa Rica at Expo Telecom, September 18-20

Should be fun:). More details here.