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260 posts categorized "Future of Media"

June 24, 2012

Audio version of my keynote presentation at the Wiggin 2012 DES event: the future of media

42MB MP3 below (click to play, right click to download). The video is here

 

Keynote_presentation_from_Gerd_Leonhard_Wiggin_Digital_Entertainment_Summit_2012

 

Of course, content & media is one of my essential topics, and most of the crucial stuff is covered in this 30-minute audio version of the DES video. I hope you like it - if you do, please share it widely.

Many related slideshows can be found here. Here is a low-res version of the actual slideshow: Download DES wiggin Gerd Leonhard Public low res

You can use my mobile app to listen to 50+ audio versions of my latest talks, as well as assorted podcasts I did during the past 10 years.

Gerd app screenshot MF MR

June 22, 2012

Join us on July 19th: free webinar on the Future of Media - Mobile, Social, Cloud... and Paid? With Futurists Ross Dawson and Gerd Leonhard

Fellow media futurist and Futures Agency colleague Ross Dawson and me are delighted to announce this free webinar on July 19, 2012, at 2pm CET, 1pm UK, 8 am EST, 8pm Singapore & HongKong, 7pm Jakarta time.  Attendance is limited to 100 people so sign up early.  Emphasis will be on discussion and questions rather than presentations. 

The Future of Media: Mobile, Social, Cloud... and Paid? With Futurists Ross Dawson and Gerd Leonhard

Join us for a webinar on Jul 19, 2012 at 2:00 PM CEST.

Register now!

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/797gl/register/8547917098258049792

Both Ross and Gerd have spend the past 10 years researching, writing and speaking about the future of media & content, and have worked with over 150 clients in 27 countries on many of the key topics such as monetization and new, web-native business models, curation and filtering, the global shift to mobile devices and what it really means for media, the dramatic convergence of Internet and television, the move from media ownership to cloud access (such as in books or print), the future of advertising (and whether it can fund media productions), crowd-sourcing, UGC and social media, and much more. In this free webinar, Ross and Gerd will present 5 key points on the future of media (print, tv, films, music etc) each - approx. 20 minutes in total - and then take questions from the participants (via the chat functions or twitter). The goal is to have an in-depth, ad-hoc conversation that involves the participants as much as possible. You can also ask questions beforehand, via @gleonhard or @rossdawson #futmedia

PLEASE NOTE: attendance is limited to 100 people - sign up early:)

Find out more about Ross Dawson:
http://rossdawson.com/
https://twitter.com/#!/rossdawson
http://www.youtube.com/user/rossdaht2/videos

Find out more about Gerd Leonhard
http://www.mediafuturist.com/
https://twitter.com/#!/gleonhard
http://www.youtube.com/gleonhard

After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.

View System Requirements

Gerd and Ross Futurists Video

June 21, 2012

Epiphany moment: Pay-Will not Pay-Wall! The future of content

A key slide from my last presentation: what publishers need to create is not pay-walls, it's pay-wills. See Netflix, Kindle, Popular Science, TheGuardian, LinkedIn, Spotify... :) ask me if you want to know more, or go here.

Paywall paywill gerd leonhard futurist speaker

June 15, 2012

SoLoMo and 20 action items on The Future of Business (slideshow)

Enjoy:)))

June 04, 2012

Watch out - the deer now have guns! (great meme!!)

"Institutions are not in control anymore. The digital revolution has given guns to the deer, and they don't hesitate to use them. This loss of control has rocked media but it has penetrated all of society."

via www.guardian.co.uk

Great way to put it!!  Picture via Flickr/lynetter -- Thanks!!

Deer guns Flickr lynetter

May 31, 2012

My proposal to the Swiss government and the Swiss music industry: Die Musik Flatrate - das Schweizer Modell (in German!)

Music flat rate authorized gerd leonhardUpdate: Friday June 1 5pm EST: we now have the whole thing online (in German, for now), here, and the discussion is starting on this brand-new Facebook page.

I just finished this open letter to the Swiss government and the music industry, proposing a new, standardized digital music license, and a digital music flat rate of 1 Swiss Franc per week per user, paid by the retailers or telcos or the users.

Note: The PDF is in GERMAN until I get around to translating it: http://db.tt/IfIYAS3U

The blog post on my German site is here: http://www.gleonhard.com/2012/05/die-musik-flatrate-ein-schweizer-modell.html

More very soon!
Gerd

PS: This video says it all, really, and in English:))

 

May 17, 2012

Words of Wisdom from the World E-Reading Congress 2012 (good review of my talk and preso)

World-E-Reading-Congress-2012-logo-final-300x96Roger Tagholm at Publishing Perspectives just published a nice review of the World eReading Congress in London, on Tuesday, where I had the pleasure of doing the opening keynote. The 6MB low-res PDF can be downloaded via this link:  Download Ereading congress london gerd Leonhard (note: this is quick version, better resolution soon on Slideshare).

Here are the best snippets from Roger's review (and the rest of it is a good overview, as well!)

By Roger Tagholm

"Access not ownership, relationships not transactions and concerns over who owns the channel to market – these were some of the themes of the second World E-Reading Congress which began in London on Monday. Once again, organizers Terrapin had assembled a powerful line-up of speakers who provided a one-stop take on what is happening in the digital space. From “haptic technology” (from the Greek Haptikos, “pertaining to the sense of touch”) to “lean back” readers, this was also the place to get a jargon update and phrase fix.

The View from a Futurist

Media Futurist Gerd Leonhard kicked things off. He believes the debate will soon be about access, not ownership and said that “for those over 30 it’s very hard to understand this switch. There will be some ownership, but it won’t grow. With music, iTunes sales are flat, but streaming is growing. It will happen with books. A Spotify for books will come.  If a student wants 300 books, he’ll buy a three-year subscription”. Small examples of that already exist, but Leonhard means on a mass scale, such as that being contemplated in Brazil “where the government is looking to buy 100 million devices for students so they don’t have to buy the physical books”.

He believes there is more to the future than walled gardens and that “humans need meaning, not just cool technology. In the end, meaning is money.  Apple has meaning, even though it is a totally walled garden — an oligopoly, a cult.” During the next three to five years he thinks we will see telemedia convergence. “The telecoms industry will realize that it will have to make deals with ISP operators to sell content — so that if you buy this SIM card, for example, you can get ten books.

“For the consumer, access to content will become much cheaper. We cannot force the consumer to pay the same for digital as physical. Technology owners reads more, so why penalize them? We need to innovate now to keep them.”

Sharing, he maintained, should be “non-negotiable. Sharing does not create economic damage.” Publishers must engage with their customers; attitudes to piracy must be rethought (“piracy happens when motivation meets opportunity”); and publishers must build value around content “because payment works if the context is right — if there is a reason, people will pay.”

Added note:  "Duncan Edwards, President and CEO of Hearst Magazines International, took an entirely different view on pricing. “We have discovered that, because of the ease of use, people are prepared to pay as much — or even more — for the digital versions of our magazines.”

Really?  Not sure that maybe that have just discovered their own desire to get as much as before, and found some willing fans - rest assured, this won't last.  Look at iTunes and the music industry:)  People will not continue to buy songs for €1 every time they are interested.  Unsustainable, imho:=)

May 09, 2012

New video: the future of Business and Communications (from Olavstoppen event in Stavanger May 3, 2012)

This is the complete video of my keynote at the Olavstoppen POL2012 event in Stavanger / Norway, on The Future of Business and Communications; May 3, 2012. You can download the PDF with the slides I used (low res version, creative commons licensed): Download Future of Business Olavstoppen Gerd Leonhard Keynote Public (6MB).  Most high-res versions of my presentations can be found at Slideshare. You can download the video via this link (or add the file to your dropbox).

The Future of Business & Communications. Social. Local. Mobile. Cloud. And why Data is the New Oil. Futurist and CEO of TheFuturesAgency Gerd Leonhard was the keynote speaker at the Olavstoppen POL conference on May 3rd 2012 in Stavanger, Norway.

April 28, 2012

New video: the future of business and the global shift to a networked society (HBR Poland Keynote)

Screen Shot 2012-04-28 at 4.05.21 PMThis is the complete (approx 80 minutes) video of my keynote at the HBR Poland conference in Warszawa March 16 2012. The slides are sometimes a bit hard to see as the video zooms back and forth so if desired you can download the complete PDF (high-res, 26MB) with my slides via http://db.tt/JmKiJyQh (creative commons non-commercial attribiution licensed, as always).

Topic: "The future of business: how to benefit from the global shift to a networked society"
The Internet, or to be more precise, the mobile and social 'Internet 2.0' that has exploded in the past 2 years, is dramatically changing the way we find and are found, how we relate to our customers (and vice versa), and by extension how we buy and sell. In a networked society, the-people-formerly-known-as-consumers are becoming more powerful by the minute; transparency rules and more often than not, interaction comes before transaction and attention is the currency. In this digital world, data is indeed the new oil, brands are publishers, and ecommerce almost entirely becomes mobile and social - and this has significant impact on B2B sectors, as well. Gerd will share his foresights on where things are headed in the next 3 years, provide examples of best practices and illustrate the biggest opportunities and how to prepare for them. The future of business is interdependent, real-time, social, local and mobile - get ready.

 

April 16, 2012

The Man With the Google Glasses (via NYTimes.com), watch this video

Glassproject_goggle_model1On the one hand, the video is a testament to modern technology’s extraordinary feats — not only instant communication across blocks or continents, but also an almost god-like access to information about the world around us. The Man in the Google Glasses can find his way effortlessly through the mazes of Manhattan; he can photograph anything he sees; he can make an impulse purchase from any corner of the world.

But the video also captures the sense of isolation that coexists with our technological mastery. The Man in the Google Glasses lives alone, in a drab, impersonal apartment. He meets a friend for coffee, but the video cuts away from this live interaction, leaping ahead to the moment when he snaps a photo of some “cool” graffiti and shares it online. He has a significant other, but she’s far enough away that when sunset arrives, he climbs up on a roof and shares it with her via video, while she grins from a window at the bottom of his field of vision.

via www.nytimes.com

Good piece high-lighting the issues with Google Glasses

Related Video:

April 05, 2012

My contribution to Mashable's 9 Bold Predictions for the Digital World of 2020

I recently  was invited to chime in on this snappy collection of 2020-predictions done by Amy-Mae Elliott at Mashable, along with some of my peers and esteemed futurist colleagues such as Ian Pearson, Jim Carroll and Dave Evans.  Take a look.  Here is my piece:

Connecting the Cloud With the Crowd
"By 2020 everything will have moved into the cloud: content, media, health records, education. Connecting the cloud with the crowd will become a huge business. Related to this, access will replace ownership in almost all forms of media. Future media 'consumers' will simply have music, films, TV shows, games, etc. in the cloud, paid 'with attention,' i.e., advertising and data mining (Facebook cloud), subscription (Apple new iTV), and bundles (i.e., with mobile operators). Most importantly, many consumers will not pay for 'content' per se, but for all the added values around the content, such as curation, packaging, design, social connections, interfaces, apps, etc. Finally, all media that is not social and mobile will shrink; all that combines with their current models will prosper."

Thanks to Amy at Mashable - well done!

Read more on my content-cloud ideas.  Check out my Future of Content book, via Amazon Kindle.

Everything in the cloud kevin kelly gleonhard

Gerd leonhard social local video mobile cloud memes

 

March 20, 2012

Get this new report (free): the future of technology disruption in business (Ricoh / Economist)

Just found this via Ricoh Europe, in collaboration with The Economist (free PDF download, but requires email registration).  This is a definitive MUST READ. Serious intel and stats here, and totally spot-on foresights.

Ricoh europe report gerd leonhard

 

March 17, 2012

Must watch video: Rob Reid at TED: The $8 billion iPod (hilarious Copyright Math)

BRILLIANT video by comic author Rob Reid, showing how ridiculous the calculation of economic losses due to content 'piracy' is. Absolutely amazing how he strings the facts and hypotheses together - must watch for anyone in the content industry.

Read more here: Comic author and Rhapsody C-Founder Rob Reid unveils Copyright Math (TM), a remarkable new field of study based on actual numbers from entertainment industry lawyers and lobbyists. Rob Reid is a humor author and the founder of the company that created the music subscription service Rhapsody.

Snippets from the transcript:

"The recent debate over copyright laws like SOPA in the United States and the ACTA agreement in Europe has been very emotional. And I think some dispassionate, quantitative reasoning could really bring a great deal to the debate. I'd therefore like to propose that we employ, we enlist, the cutting edge field of copyright math whenever we approach this subject. For instance, just recently the Motion Picture Association revealed that our economy loses 58 billion dollars a year to copyright theft. Now rather than just argue about this number, a copyright mathematician will analyze it and he'll soon discover that this money could stretch from this auditorium all the way across Ocean Boulevard to the Westin, and then to Mars ... (Laughter) ... if we use pennies.
 
Now this is obviously a powerful, some might say dangerously powerful, insight. But it's also a morally important one. Because this isn't just the hypothetical retail value of some pirated movies that we're talking about, but this is actual economic losses. This is the equivalent to the entire American corn crop failing along with all of our fruit crops, as well as wheat, tobacco, rice, sorghum -- whatever sorghum is -- losing sorghum. But identifying the actual losses to the economy is almost impossible to do unless we use copyright math. Now music revenues are down by about eight billion dollars a yearsince Napster first came on the scene. So that's a chunk of what we're looking for. But total movie revenues across theaters, home video and pay-per-view are up. And TV, satellite and cable revenues are way up. Other content markets like book publishing and radio are also up. So this small missing chunk here is puzzling..."

February 27, 2012

The future is already here: Samsung introduces gesture, voice controlled TV

Pretty amazing stuff. Next stop: Telemedia

February 24, 2012

New video: My Keynote on Broadband Futures (from the future with high-speed broadband conference in Auckland)

This nice video just went up on my Youtube channel: my entire keynote speech (67 minutes) from the Future with High Speed Broadband Conference in Auckland, New Zealand on February 23, 2012. Topics: Transformational Technologies and Creating new demand for ICT services - The Future of Broadband and ICT -, in detail: the coming telemedia convergence, the future of content in a hyper-connected society, social networks are cable TV without the cable, why open standards are crucial, why and how data is the new oil, how Control is being replaced by engagement and involvement, why sustainability becomes even more important, the shift from egosystems versus ecosystems, the new drivers of Innovation.  The slides are embedded below, as well.

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