Video of my talk at Repretel Costa Rica: the future of television, media, radio and broadcasting

Audio-only version is now available on my mobile app (the entire 2 hours); excerpt below. Enjoy:)))

Gerd Leonhard Talk at Repretel Costa Rica

 

New video: Rebooting Media: my presentation at the Belfast Media Festival 2012

This is a very nicely recorded video (thanks to the BBC NI and their fabulous studio in Belfast) and I cover a lot of ground as far as the future of media is concerned; one of my best talks on this topic, to date, imho:)  Enjoy and share!

You can download the PDF with most of the slides here , or just browse my Slideshare channel. In this talk I cover most of the key topics such as 'the people formerly known as consumers', the shift from ownership to access, advertising becoming content, independence replaced by Interdependence, the end of attention monopolies, the social OS aka SoLoMo.   

Special thanks to the BBC NI for making a great video and sharing it with me and everyone else.  Also special thanks to Tiffany Shlain and her great work - be sure to watch 'Connected the Movie' asap!!

 

BMF2012: Rebooting Media: From Ego to Eco (Futurist Keynote Speaker Gerd Leonhard) from Gerd Leonhard

The Future of Radio - will Radio survive? Presentation for RTP in Lisbon

Here is the slideshow from yesterday's event in Lisbon, for Radio Televisao de Portugal

The Future of Radio and Broadcasting (Gerd Leonhard, The Futures Agency)

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Complete video and audio from my appearance on Roda Viva / TV Cultura (Brazil), April 2010

This is the complete, 75-minute video of my appearance on Brazil's most popular talk show on Public TV, called Roda Viva (on the TV Cultura channel). I was delighted to be invited to the show, and really enjoyed being 'grilled' by the super-smart journalists and Brazilian media experts in the studio. We could have talked forever! The show was originally broadcast on April 26 (on Brazilian TV as well as online, see the Twitter buzz here) but unfortunately the webcast did not work very well so this is the first time I have seen the video, myself, and thanks to Roda Viva / TV Cultura I am delighted to be able to share this recording with you, as well.

More information about the show is here. Duda Groisman made some great photos during the recording of this show, embedded below. Related activities on this trip include: my presentation for NBS Brazil "The Future of Communications and Business", and my presentation at Fundacao  Dom Cabral (one of Brazil's best business schools) on "The Open Network Economy". Please note: the video is half Portuguese (the questions) and half English (my replies)

Here is a 9-minute version via Youtube (their 10-minute limit really bugs me!) Audio:

Gerd Leonhard Roda Viva TVCultura Brazil

Gerd Leonhard Roda Viva No Intro

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Music Industry: The Browser is the new iPod, and the Mobile Application is the new CD

Access to music - i.e. a simple click-to-play, anywhere, anytime, anything - is replacing ownership. This trend will quickly accelerate due to the massive global build-up in cheap wireless broadband connectivity, leading us swiftly to the point where listening to a song will be exactly the same as downloading it (at least in practical terms, from the users' perspective). Some of us would argue that this is already the case, of course, but in terms of mass-scale user adoption I would say we are about 18 months away from the pivot point in the so-called developing countries.

The music industry needs to urgently get ready for this: sell access not (just) copies. Bundle. Package. Develop those new generatives. "When copies are free you need to sell things that can't be copied" (Kevin Kelly, The Technium).

Another important trend to embrace is the move to mobile devices that will pretty much replace the computer as primary access point to the Internet i.e. to all digital content. Mobile applications for smart-phones will take the place of sound-carriers; music will be sold as/in/via/with software. Read how Pandora is doing this, in the U.S.

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The Future of Media: Open, Mobile, Connected, Collaborative (presentation at MPJC 2009)

I was invited to give the opening keynote at the Mediapark Jaar Congress in Hilversum, Holland, today (June 23, 2009). The PDF can be downloaded below (creative commons licensed, as usual - feel free to re-use non-commercially, but please give attribution). Mediapark Jaarcongress Hilversum Gerd Leonhard Future of Media Public (PDF 20 MB)  Check out the #mpjc2009 Twitter Buzz (mostly in Dutch, all MJPC 2009 tweets google-translated, here). I always love speaking in Holland btw - great people! Update: the Dutch Cowboys Blog has a good summary of my presentation (in Dutch)

The Future of Media: Open, Mobile, Connected (MPJC Hilversum 2009)

View more Microsoft Word documents from Gerd Leonhard.

Update: here is the audio podcast from my speech

Discover Simple, Private Sharing at Drop.io

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Broadband Culture and the Future of Broadcasting (new video)

Here is a new video that I have just uploaded to my GerdTube.net channel on Blip.tv (which offers full iTunes download feeds so you can watch all of my videos offline, too) . The topic: Broadband penetration is rapidly increasing around the world, and Internet access is no longer depending on computers but increasingly available on mobile devices such as smart phones. Soon, the kids i.e. the 'digital natives' will run the show, and they expect Radio & TV to deliver content in much the same way as the Net does: time-shifted, interactive, engaging, shareable and via any and all platforms. The imminent total convergence of the Internet and Broadcasting will bring many challenges to traditional broadcasters (commercial or public) but there are also  unprecedented opportunities - this video discusses the key trends and future scenarios.

Please note that for some reason some of the transitions and animations are a bit delayed and don't sync 100% correctly with the voice; I have not yet figured out what how to solve this (I use Apple Keynote; and this problem happened when I exported the .key file with the voice-over to Quicktime - if anyone has an idea how to fix this please comment below - thanks). In the meantime, here is a pdf file with every single animation as one page so that you can click along with the video as I speak.  Download Broadband Broadcasting step by step slides Gerd Leonhard

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Broadcasting meets Broadband: my presentation at the Intenational Radio Forum in Tehran

UPDATE: Broadband Broadcasting Session 2 IRIB ABU Tehan Gerd Leonhard: here is part 2 of my presentations (Tues 3.30 pm May 19) .  The ABU and IRIB kindly invited me to speak at the 2nd International Radio Forum in Tehran (Iran). Some excerpts: Broadband Broadcasting Principles:  1) Broadcasters should be & remain the best possible curators, on all platforms 2) Broadcasters should support time-shifting 3) Broadcasters should support convergence (devices, platforms, UIs) 4) Broad-casters should support sharing 5) Broadcasters should support interactivity & engagement
6) Broadcasters should embrace community & conversation

If you need more food for thought, please go to my free content page, here.

(< view of Tehran from the hotel... my iPhone's camera always makes it look  rather strange). As promised, here is the PDF with my keynote entitled "Broadband & Broadcast - the next 5 years".  Download IRIB ABU Tehran Keynote Gerd Leonhard Public 

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The Future of Radio Broadcasting is Curation

Radio will no longer be about the 'free' delivery of music and audio - everyone else will have that, too (and at least in technical terms, a lot of it will be much better). Once music on the Internet is collectively licensed (i.e. within 1-3 years, depending on which territory we are talking about), on-demand streaming and downloading will simply be included in your Internet access - and Radio Broadcasters will need to add value by being the best possible curators, period. Watch this video on Facebook if you want more details.

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The Future of Broadcasting, and the End of Control (videos of my keynote at NPOX 2009)

Finally, here are the videos from my keynote speech at NPOX 2009 in Hilversum, courtesy of OMROEP, the Dutch broadcasting organization which invited me to speak about The End of Control, the People formerly known as Consumers and the Future of Broadcasting (Radio and TV), at their annual gathering and conference, NPOX.  The PDF and slideshare stuff is here.

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Marketing Music, 2.0: the declining importance of traditional Air-Play (Radio) versus Net-Play

Over the course of the next 5-6 years, the importance of getting Air-Play on terrestrial i.e. traditional, programmed radio will drastically decline, as people are switching to the Internet (and by extension, to each other) as the #1 way of sourcing music programs. We will see a drastic increase in fragmentation as people will do anything from carefully customizing each track in their lists to just listen to 'what's on' - and there will be 100s of permutations in between. From total engagement to total passive consumption, there will be offers covering each - and they will all be connected.

Because of the strong uptake in next generation mobile devices (fka cell phones), the explosive proliferation of social networks and the drastic increase in wireless broadband capabilities at ever decreasing costs (yes, not yet - but give it another 18 months) we will see people use their mobile devices as prime instruments of listening to radio-like music programs - there will be hundreds of radio/music apps available via the various app stores that each device maker AND operator will offer; some paid, most feels-like-free, some sponsored.

The other point is that as the car becomes fully connected and always-online people will shift their music consumption to Net-based offerings while on the road, as well (in addition to the already stiff in-car competition from iPods etc) - this will be a very very very serious challenge to traditional Radio (and TV) broadcasters. Local news, traffic, sports etc will be programmable to interlace with your Internet-based stations - the best of both worlds?  Talk about Change!

More resources: my slideshow on the Future of Broadcasting (NPOX 08), my slideshow on the Future of Radio (2007)

 

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Pandora's iPhone success - showing a path to an ad-supported, mobile music future

Image by  via CrunchBase

Some readers may recall that the very existence of Pandora, one of the biggest next-generation, personalized digital radio platforms was recently seriously endangered by the threat of having to pay outlandish and retroactive music licensing fees right after having been kicked out of Europe (also for similarly bizarre licensing reasons). Now, thankfully, a report reveals that Pandora has gained an even bigger (albeit only U.S.-based) audience by launching a free iPhone application that is, you guessed it, entirely supported by some apparently quite smart advertising. I wish I could see for myself but since I am in beautiful Switzerland I have been barred from the pleasures of Pandora - after all, why would the music licensing organizations even bother with Pandora's international users... right?

But anyway, what is so great to hear (see the press release) is that ad-supported music seems to work so very much better on the iPhone (and soon, many other mobile devices, I would hope) than it does on the good old computer - this, I think, holds great potential for the future of ad-supported, free or feels like free + freemium content on mobile devices. First music, then films / TV, then books (and games.... yes, of course: already there!)

A quote from the press release (December 4, 2008) sums it up very nicely (even if we remove the few instances of PR hype):  "Since September 22, when Pandora began marketing its iPhone platform to marketers, it's had a steady queue of the biggest national brands anxious to deliver their ad messages to iPhone mobile users with Pandora as the conduit. The first advertisers to launch on Pandora's iPhone application were Best Buy and Beck's, followed by a list of other top tier brands such as Target, HP, Nike and Kraft Foods. To date, Pandora's iPhone ad platform has delivered over the twice the response rate as its other ad products due to the highly interactive nature of the device. Additionally, iPhone users can continue to stream music while they engage with the ad so the user experience is not diminished in any way"

Here is the key, in my view: it's all about the INTERFACE. The USER EXPERIENCE. That is what is so great about the iPhone (after all, it's really a lousy phone, in my view, but a great mobile computer and communication device), and that's what's so great about Pandora, too. The sum of the two really makes it tick, I guess. Next destination: Nokia?

I think users will pay to use the Pandora interface, the functionality, the build-in community features; and advertisers and brands will pay to align themselves with those tens of millions of keen and open, interested and fast-clicking users. And yet other users would probably pay to have Pandora without ads, too!

Now (add: sound of broken record) if only the labels, publishers and rights societies could actually allow them to make this work, economically - then we would have something that would show a real path to a mutually beneficial future; a future that will create many of those 'New Generatives' that Kevin Kelly writes about, and a future that is based on true collaboration in an open ecosystem.

Here is an another interesting fact from the release: "Currently, Pandora's iPhone users spend an average of 90 minutes a day interacting with the application, accounting for nearly 1.2 million ad impressions per day..."  This is pointing us straight to a future recipe of success:  great interface + supreme ease of use + great content + great community features + freemium + ads2.0 = Success.

Pandora reaches roughly one in every five iPhone users in the U.S., already (and is set to have 20 Million users by the end of the year) - so what would happen if the music industry took the lid off, and allowed them to broad/narrow/micro/social-cast worldwide, on the iPhone, the new N97 and Nokia's Ovi enabled phones that are coming down the pike, 3's Facebook phone, Google Android Phones...?  You tell me.

Image via Flickr: ootunes and CNet

Other nice iPhone music apps inlude Last.fm and Sonos - not to forget!

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The Future of Broadcasting: My presentation at the Dutch Broadcasting Convention (NPOX 2008) in Hilversum

It's always a great pleasure to be in Holland where people are usually very open to Change and... where 88.4% of the population is online ;)  I was invited by the Dutch Broadcasting Organization (OMROEP) to speak about The End of Control, the People formerly known as Consumers and the Future of Broadcasting (Radio and TV), at their annual gathering and conference, NPOX. 

Here is the Dutch description of the session:  "Gerd Leonhard (Swi) is Media Futurist. Volgens hem zijn we slechts 1 a 2 jaar verwijderd van een generatie die ´af en toe online´ is, naar een generatie die ´nooit meer off-line´ is. In zijn verhaal ‘the end of control and the people formerly known as Consumers’, laat hij zien wat de gevolgen zijn van deze verschuiving op het gebied van economie, cultuur en media en wat de trends en uitdagingen zijn voor de toekomst"  Google translates this in true web-way here.   

So, as usual, here is the PDF (4MB, ~50 pages) the_future_of_broadcasting_gerd_leonhard_npox_2008_.pdf

The Future Of Broadcasting Gerd Leonhard @ Npox 2008

View SlideShare presentation or Upload your own. (tags: broadcasting radio)

  

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RadioTime Wunderground: Thousands of Radio Stations - new Phone App (via Hear 2.0)

Mark Ramsay's blog points to a new app for the iphone, offered by Radiotime, and Weather Underground: Hear 2.0: Thousands of Radio Stations - Now on the iPhone.  So we are finally getting there: via the iPhone, Internet radio is arriving in the CAR. What will this do to 'Radio 1.0' vs Radio 2.0? Now imagine an app hat saves the streams for a few hours (see the Pioneer Inno) [*probably already exists for the jailbroken iPhones] or get a wimax chip, and we'll have 15.000+ radio online radio stations available. Get Ready + we ain't seen nothing yet.

Mark has a good audio interview on his blog post, too, with the CEO of Radiotime. 

Also - given that spoke to the Trinidad music industry just yesterday - THIS is the kind of thing you need to promote your music: make a Trini music iPhone app that provides free streams. As Mark says "A distribution channel called the iPhone"

The Future of Radio (Slideshare presentation by Gerd Leonhard)

This is a presentation I have it late 2007 but it is still very much to-the-point and relevant. Slideshare.net rocks, btw - it's really the Youtube of Slideshows. You can check out all of my slideshows on Slideshare, here (pdf downloads for all of them).

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